Abstract

Based on the research on the coupling of long-term geographic cellular automata and space optimization technology, the team proposed a new generation of models for land use change simulation and scenario analysis as effective tools for analyzing future landscape dynamic changes in various scenarios. At present, the simulation model of land change is basically based on urban expansion, and there are major drawbacks in large area and global simulation. Models rarely consider the impact of background climate, but the impact of climate and climate change on land-use change can not be ignored. Our next-generation land-use change simulation model can effectively solve the global high-precision long-term land-use change simulation and provide powerful methodological support in geographic condition analysis and spatial planning. It can effectively provide decision basis for the delimitation of urban growth boundary. We generated 1-km high-precision land-use change simulation products, as well as the free GeoSOS-FLUS and GeoSOS plug-ins based on the ARCGIS plug-in.

Presenter Profile

Li Xia, a professor at East China Normal University, a member of the Academy of Eurasian Sciences, "Changjiang Scholar" of the Ministry of Education and a winner of Outstanding Youth Fund. He was devoted to the research of land use change simulation and space optimization, intelligent space decision-making and spatial planning. Established the theoretical system of geographic simulation and decision support system, and published GeoSOS, a geographic simulation and optimization system, which is considered as one of the most famous land use models in the world. And was named one of the 30 important progress in science and technology in China in 2013. Published 6 monographs, published more than 280 papers, of which more than 110 papers SCI. Selected for Elsevier's 2014, 2015 and 2016 China Cited Scholar list. Presided over the national key research and development programs, 973,863, the National Natural Science Foundation of China and other key projects more than 40 items.？